Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. Nate Silver's. They also look at mayoral elections, which are taking place in more than two dozen major cities, and special elections for a handful of vacant House seats. No products in the cart. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The crew debates whether the Democratic Party really is actually in disarray as it struggles to pass legislation and faces a difficult midterm year, or if its hurdles are usual for any party in power. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. As Congress considers legislation that would decriminalize marijuana and end the sentencing disparity for crack and cocaine offenses, Galen Druke speaks with FiveThirtyEight contributor Lester Black about what Americans think should be done about drugs and how politicians are responding. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Pew Research has released its verified voter survey, looking at how different groups within the electorate voted in 2020. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. Galen Druke speaks with the director of the Harvard study, Robert Waldinger, about the lessons his findings have for politics in America. This week Nikki Haley became the first major candidate to challenge former President Donald Trump in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Happy holidays! They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Over the weekend, the White House announced that five more classified documents from the Obama administration were found at President Biden's Delaware home. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". The crew tries to rank the electoral significance of some of the biggest stories in the news right now. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. Nate Silver is back from his book research/poker trip to Las Vegas, and in this installment, he sits down with Galen Druke to answer listener questions and talk about what he learned on the strip. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Tensions between the U.S. and China have grown in recent years and, in this installment, the crew looks at changing public opinion of China and how it could shape American politics. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Georgians handed control of the Senate to Democrats in a pair of dramatic runoffs and voted for a Democrat for president for the first time in 28 years. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. Progressive Democrats have struggled to break through in one of the most high-profile elections of the year: the Democratic primary for New York City mayor. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. As of Monday, all U.S. troops have withdrawn from Afghanistan following a chaotic evacuation from the country. Galen speaks with reporter Kaleigh Rogers about how candidates who denied the legitimacy of the 2020 election did in the midterms and what the future of election denialism looks like. The crew talks about where Americans stand on mitigation efforts, how politicians are responding, and what public health experts are saying about the current state of the pandemic. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. The data behind that evolution is striking. They also ask whether the Republican Party can coalesce around an alternative to former President Donald Trump and whether President Bidens recent dismissal of the polls is a good or bad use of polling. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. They consider how much. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward.
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